Renewal Risk 2.0 — Designing Trust into AI-Driven B2B Ecosystems

As UX Lead & Research Lead, my challenge wasn't just designing a dashboard — it was overcoming a deep-seated trust barrier, turning a black-box AI number into an actionable, scalable decision-making framework.

5,000+
Users
150+
Countries
$200M+
Deals
5% ↑
ARR impact

Overview

Renewal Risk 2.0 leverages an advanced AI/ML scoring model to predict risk at both the deal and line-item levels, surfaced via a Connected Insights popup within Cisco's Renewals Console and Renewals Console Home. Renewal Sellers and Customer Success teams managing over $200M in deals across 150+ countries would simply ignore the scoring model if they didn't trust the data.

I led a strategic research initiative and UX redesign to transform that black-box AI number into an actionable, scalable decision-making framework — ultimately driving a 5% increase in ARR impact without requiring a single user training session, and delivering an expected 15% reduction in users' daily workload.

Role

Product Design Lead, Research Lead

Timeline

Nov 2023 – Jan 2024

Strategic Framing & Business Goals

From "increase renewals" to closing the risk gap


Business goal: maximize renewal Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) across enterprise accounts.

The framing: while the initial business directive was simply "increase renewals," foundational user research revealed a major tactical gap — effectively surfacing and predicting renewal risks was the most direct lever to prevent revenue churn and drive ARR growth.

  • Phase 1 (The MVP scope): the original product requirement was limited to displaying raw risk data within a basic Renewals Console widget, simply flagging what data caused a high-risk score for each deal.
  • Phase 2 (The senior UX pivot): after building and evaluating the initial prototype, I realized that merely displaying risk flags was insufficient to drive business value. I proactively proposed a complete framework shift — expanding the system to display not just the risk level, but the explicit root causes and prescriptive, actionable mitigation strategies.
  • Phase 3 (Platform expansion): to ensure maximum visibility and daily engagement, I advocated for shifting and expanding the platform footprint from a hidden console widget directly onto the Renewals Console Home.

The Core Challenge

The trust barrier


As Lead UX Designer & Research Lead, my mission involved overcoming two distinct challenges. First, I negotiated a critical strategic misalignment with the PM regarding feature placement; while the initial scope was limited, I successfully advocated for integrating the Renewal Risk score not only within the Renewals Console but also directly onto the Renewals Console Home — significantly enhancing accessibility and giving users comprehensive visibility across their entire deal portfolio.

However, expanding the product's footprint was only half the battle. The second — and more formidable — challenge was ensuring that once users saw the score, they would actually act on it. Our pre-launch research with 10 global participants (with up to 26 years of tenure at Cisco) revealed a critical systemic issue: users ignored the Renewal Risk column because they defaulted to distrusting the AI model. Instead of acting on the score, they manually bypassed the ecosystem to verify data directly with customers — creating major operational inefficiencies. The design problem was clear: we needed to close the gap between what the model calculated and what a human was willing to believe.

Research Integrity & Evaluative Usability Testing

Owning the research lifecycle end to end


To validate the high-risk action framework and secure cross-functional buy-in, I independently proposed and spearheaded a comprehensive end-to-end usability testing initiative. Using the interactive prototypes, I owned the entire evaluative research lifecycle.

  • End-to-end research planning: authored the comprehensive testing protocol, defined core target user personas, and managed global participant recruitment.
  • Artifact creation: developed rigorous usability testing scripts and standardized data-driven note-taking formats to ensure quantitative and qualitative alignment.
  • Executive stakeholder alignment: synthesized the raw usability data into high-impact UX recommendations and presented findings directly to stakeholders — translating user friction into clear, actionable design recommendations, securing immediate alignment, and driving the project to design handoff.

Findings & Strategic UX Solutions

Five friction points, Five design decisions

Finding 1

From "black box" to explainable AI (XAI)

The friction: users hesitated to act on high-risk flags because they didn't know why the score was generated.

and that it's linked to the customer success dashboard and there is some telemetric going wrong, like taking an option and everything, but it's not that accurate. So, what I'm doing is, I just go to costumer or partner to ask..

— Participant 10, RS 
Senior design strategy

Aiming to build trust in the risk data, I moved beyond raw numbers to prioritize model explainability — designing a framework that details how the model works, displaying specific algorithmic risk drivers combined with collaborative history (e.g., Customer Pulse) for clear visibility across all user roles.

Impact

By transforming an isolated number into an explained narrative, we established immediate psychological safety and data credibility.

Types of Risk Model explanation popup

Finding 2

Standardizing the interaction pattern (mental models)

The friction: in the Top Risk Factors table, users repeatedly tried to click directly on the status labels (High/Medium), which disrupted the console's existing interaction model.

I would then probably go to status and click on see if, if they were highlight hyperlinked or something to.

— Participant 5, CSE 
Senior design strategy

Instead of forcing users to adapt to the UI, I adapted the UI to their mental model — establishing a predictable, strict interactive sequence: Status → Focus Area → Who to Contact → Actionable Guide.

Impact

Unified the interface's behavior pattern, drastically lowering cognitive load and eliminating navigation errors during critical workflows.

Recommended Next Steps moved directly next to Status in Connected Insights

Finding 3

From habit-driven navigation to contextual discovery

The friction: Users instinctively clicked the Deal ID or Opportunity Name rather than the designated status bubble to learn more about the Renewal Risk, driven by their deeply ingrained habit of accessing detailed information through traditional console pathways.

I would click into the opportunity. I don't know, probably on the deal ID, or the opportunity name.

— Participant 1, RM 
Senior design strategy

Recognizing that users rely heavily on existing navigation habits and cannot immediately adapt to new UI elements, I advocated for an empathetic, friction-free onboarding framework. Rather than forcing users to guess or altering the core data structure, I designed an intuitive, in-system "What's New" quick-guide session triggered upon login. This context-aware guidance directly bridges the gap between familiar navigation paths and newly introduced features without disrupting their active workflows.

Impact

Eliminated the learning curve for the new interaction model and significantly accelerated features adoption, while bypassing the need for costly and time-consuming global training sessions.

What's New onboarding popup pattern, referencing Miro's approach

Finding 4

Proposing terminology standardization in the design system

The friction: the console suffered from fragmented vocabulary across different roles (e.g., "Ok"/"Good" in one section, "High"/"Highest" in another), causing user confusion.

Senior design strategy

Looking at the platform's long-term scalability, I partnered with a UX researcher to propose a standardized system — prioritizing user-friendly information delivery with inline tooltips and hover-states that explain complex definitions natively.

Impact

Avoided costly, disruptive global training sessions by building "vocabulary standardization" directly into the design system component.

Inline tooltips and hover-states explaining terminology

Finding 5

Workflow optimization via quick-sorting

The friction: 70% of renewal sellers prioritized their daily workflows using the same three vectors — high ATR (Amount to Renew), earliest expiration date, and Renewal Risk — but had to manually scan the table every time.

I think that Ah.. let me see, is there a way to filter or to order the high to low? That would be helpful.

— Participant 3, CSE 
Senior design strategy

Proposed introducing a localized quick-sort algorithm and custom column reordering panel directly inside both the console and the popup, mapping perfectly to users' operational priorities.

Impact

Drastically reduced manual data scanning, driving an expected 20% efficiency gain in users' daily workflows.

Renewal Opportunity table with sortable Breakdown view

Cross-Functional Leadership & Stakeholder Alignment

Navigating constraints to drive product strategy


When research revealed that users were missing the popup entirely due to deeply ingrained habits, I faced a major product constraint: no native in-app guidance framework at launch. Instead of letting the user experience suffer, I stepped up to lead a cross-functional strategy with Product Management and the Business Operations team.

Short-term mitigation

  • Designed and negotiated a Phased Geo-Rollout Strategy
  • Paired the rollout with targeted video micro-training for the release

Long-term roadmap

  • Leveraged this user friction to build a business case for a permanent in-product guidance framework
  • Targeted for the following quarter

Every participant passed UAT

The true success of this project lies in its future-proofing — shifting the narrative from "how do we show a popup?" to "how do we design scalability and trust into an AI model?"

The Bigger Picture & Design Scalability

Designing scalability and trust, not just a popup


By shifting the narrative from "how do we show a popup?" to "how do we design scalability and trust into an AI model?", this project successfully shipped the initial release with a clear, validated roadmap for subsequent phases.

We successfully established an architectural foundation that allows Cisco's Renewals Console to seamlessly absorb new, complex risk signals over time — without ever breaking the core user experience or requiring expensive user retraining.